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HF Sinclair Corporation

DINO
49
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · Energy
Price
$88.59
+1.75 (+2.02%)
Market Cap
$15.97B
Winston Score
49
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Share count rising — dilution

+14.7% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 162.6M (2021) → 186.5M (2025)

HF Sinclair Corporation takes crude oil and turns it into everyday products like gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, and asphalt. It sells these products to gas stations, trucking companies, airlines, and other businesses across the United States. The company operates a network of refineries mainly in the mid-continent, Southwest, and Rocky Mountain regions, and also owns the Sinclair and DINO branded retail fuel network.

HF Sinclair makes money by buying crude oil, refining it, and selling the finished products at a markup — a spread known as the "crack spread." It also runs a lubricants and specialty products business, a renewables segment producing renewable diesel, and a pipeline and logistics operation through its stake in Holly Energy Partners. The company's refinery locations give it access to cheaper landlocked crude, which can support margins. The biggest risk is that crack spreads are highly volatile and can compress quickly when crude oil prices rise faster than refined product prices.

Winston Score History

Politician Trades

2 trades / 12mo

0 Congressional buys and 2 sells on DINO in the last 12 months.

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Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
14.3%
Thin — 14.3% gross margin
Operating Margin
12.7%
Healthy — 12.7% operating margin
ROCE
7.2%
Weak — 7.2% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-1.1%
Shrinking sales (-1.1% YoY)
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
EPS Consistency
6/8 quarters
Earnings grew in most of the last 8 quarters

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
151%
Turns 151% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
3.4%
Thin free cash flow (3.4%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.30
Conservative — low debt load (0.30)
Interest Cover
8.23x
Comfortably covers interest (8.2x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
13.3x
Attractive valuation — P/E 13.3

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
+1.4
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow — slightly cheaper on forward P/E

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
3.10%
Moderate income — 3.10% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend Growth
+0.0%
Dividend flat

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