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HighPeak Energy

HPK
25
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production · Energy
Price
$7.37
+0.10 (+1.45%)
Market Cap
$930.6M
Exchange
NASDAQ
Winston Score
25
Winston is worried
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.

Share count rising — dilution

+32.2% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 94.8M (2021) → 125.3M (2025)

HighPeak Energy, Inc., an independent oil and natural gas company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids reserves in the Midland Basin in West Texas. As of December 31, 2021, the company had approximately 64,213 MBoe of proved reserves. HighPeak Energy, Inc. was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-16.1% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

-451.7% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (1%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

82.8%ownership

Insiders own a meaningful stake in the company

Cash Runway

~4 months

$96M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Short runway — potential dilution ahead through share issuance

Cash watch

HighPeak Energy has less than a year of cash at its current burn rate. Growth investors should watch for potential share dilution from future fundraising — that directly reduces your ownership.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
19.8%
Thin — 19.8% gross margin
Operating Margin
16.7%
Healthy — 16.7% operating margin
ROCE
1.4%
Weak — 1.4% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-25.8%
Shrinking sales (-25.8% YoY)
EPS YoY
-228.6%
Earnings shrinking (-228.6% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
0/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
N/A
Data not available
FCF Margin
-3.0%
Burning cash (-3.0%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.81
Moderate — manageable debt (0.81)
Interest Cover
0.66x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (0.7x)

Interest coverage below 1. Their profits don't cover the interest bill.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/M
Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
2.23%
Moderate income — 2.23% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend Growth
+0.0%
Dividend flat

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