Hillman Solutions

HLMN

Manufacturing - Tools & Accessories · Industrials

Price

$8.09

-0.35 (-4.15%)

Market Cap

$1.59B

Exchange

NASDAQ

Winston Score

Winston is serious

Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Share count rising — dilution

+48.1% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 134.7M (2021) → 199.5M (2025)

Hillman Solutions Corp., together with its subsidiaries, provides hardware-related products and related merchandising services in North America. It offers hardware products, including anchor shackles and eye bolts, door hinges and chains, garage doors, safety hasps, gate hooks and latches, magnets, hooks and storage, corner braces and mending plates, and springs; and fasteners, such as anchors, ball bearings, bolts, kits, nails, nuts, pins, rivets, screws, spacers, threaded inserts, tools/brushe

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

For growth stock investors

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+3.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

-900.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$1M/ year

0.1% of revenue

Below sector average (4%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

1.1%ownership

→ Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$28M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth context

Hillman Solutions is growing revenue at 3% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin

45.6%

Healthy — 45.6% gross margin

Operating Margin

1.9%

Thin — 1.9% operating margin

ROCE

0.4%

Weak — 0.4% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY

+5.5%

Slow sales growth (5.5% YoY)

EPS YoY

+113.8%

Earnings growing fast (113.8% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency

6/8 quarters

Earnings grew in most of the last 8 quarters

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion

588%

Turns 588% of profit into real cash

FCF Margin

5.9%

Thin free cash flow (5.9%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity

0.67

Moderate — manageable debt (0.67)

Interest Cover

1.96x

Dangerous — barely covers interest (2.0x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)

43.0x

no trend

Pricey — P/E 43.0

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

P/E vs Forward

+33.7

GROWING

Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (43.0 → 9.3)

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.

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