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Houlihan Lokey

HLI
62
Financial - Capital Markets · Financial Services
Price
$140.01
-3.29 (-2.30%)
Market Cap
$9.67B
Winston Score
62
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.

Houlihan Lokey is an investment bank that helps companies with big financial decisions. Its main services are mergers and acquisitions (helping companies buy or sell other companies), restructuring (helping struggling companies manage their debt), and financial advisory work. It mostly serves mid-sized to large corporations, private equity firms, and governments around the world.

The company earns money by charging fees when deals are completed or when clients hire it for advice — there are no subscriptions or recurring product sales. Houlihan Lokey operates primarily in the United States but also has offices in Europe and Asia, and it generates roughly $2 billion in annual revenue. Its competitive edge comes from deep expertise in restructuring and mid-market deals, areas where it has built a strong reputation over decades. The key growth driver is deal activity across the broader economy, which means the business slows down significantly when interest rates are high or companies pull back on mergers and acquisitions.

Winston Score History

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-4.6% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

-18.5% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (7%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

0.1%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$1.2B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue declining

Houlihan Lokey's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Share count broadly stable

+0.3% over 4y

The share count has stayed roughly flat over this period — little dilution or buyback activity.

Diluted shares outstanding: 68.3M (2022) → 68.4M (2026)

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
98.7%
Premium pricing power — 98.7% gross margin
Operating Margin
22.5%
Excellent — 22.5% operating margin
ROCE
6.1%
Weak — 6.1% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+14.7%
Fast-growing sales (14.7% YoY)
EPS YoY
+20.7%
Earnings growing fast (20.7% YoY)

Healthy double-digit earnings growth — what compounders look like.

EPS Consistency
8/8 quarters
Every recent quarter grew earnings vs last year

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
150%
Turns 150% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
24.5%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (24.5%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
N/A
Data not available
Interest Cover
100.00x
Comfortably covers interest (100.0x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
20.7x
Growth-priced — P/E 20.7

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

P/E vs Forward
+3.6
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (20.7 → 17.1)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
1.78%
Small dividend — 1.78% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
+8.2%
Dividend growing modestly (8.2% YoY)

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