Hub Group (HUBG) Stock Analysis & Winston Score

Hub Group, Inc., a supply chain solutions provider, offers transportation and logistics management services in North America. The company's transportation services include intermodal, truckload, less-than-truckload, flatbed, temperature-controlled, and dedicated and regional trucking, as well as final mile, railcar, small parcel, and international transportation. Its logistics services comprise full outsource logistics solution, transportation management, freight consolidation, warehousing and f

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

For growth stock investors

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-5.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

+23.1% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady EPS growth

Insider Activity

3.0%ownership

→ Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$120M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue declining

Hub Group's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin

8.2%

Thin — 8.2% gross margin

Operating Margin

4.2%

Thin — 4.2% operating margin

ROCE

2.0%

Weak — 2.0% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY

-5.8%

Shrinking sales (-5.8% YoY)

EPS YoY

-1.7%

Earnings shrinking (-1.7% YoY)

Slight earnings drop. Typical near a cyclical low.

EPS Consistency

4/8 quarters

Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion

153%

Turns 153% of profit into real cash

FCF Margin

3.0%

Thin free cash flow (3.0%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity

0.15

Conservative — low debt load (0.15)

Interest Cover

11.22x

Comfortably covers interest (11.2x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)

35.0x

no trend

Pricey — P/E 35.0

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

P/E vs Forward

+13.0

GROWING

Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (35.0 → 22.0)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield

1.11%

no trend

Small dividend — 1.11% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth

+0.0%

no trend

Dividend flat

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