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Hudbay Minerals

HBM
70
Copper · Basic Materials
Price
$20.36
-0.46 (-2.21%)
Market Cap
$9.04B
Exchange
New York Stock Exchange
Winston Score
70
Winston is happy
A high-quality business with solid fundamentals.

Share count rising — dilution

+51.7% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 261.5M (2021) → 396.6M (2025)

Hudbay Minerals is a Canadian mining company that digs copper, gold, silver, and zinc out of the ground. It sells these metals to industrial buyers, manufacturers, and commodity markets that use them in electronics, construction, and electric vehicles. Copper is its most important product, making up the majority of its revenue.

Hudbay earns money by mining and selling raw metals at whatever price the global commodity market sets on a given day. It operates mines in Canada, Peru, and the United States, making it a mid-sized producer with a geographically spread-out asset base. The company's main competitive advantage is owning long-life mines with large reserves, which are expensive and difficult for rivals to replicate. The biggest risk Hudbay faces is copper price volatility — when prices fall, revenue and profits drop quickly since the company has little control over what its metal sells for.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+27.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue accelerating

EPS Growth

+88.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Strong earnings growth

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (3%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

19.3%ownership

Insiders own a meaningful stake in the company

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$1.4B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue accelerating

Hudbay Minerals grew revenue 27% year-over-year and the growth rate is speeding up. That's the kind of momentum growth investors look for — the question is whether margins can follow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin
48.6%
Healthy — 48.6% gross margin
Operating Margin
40.0%
Excellent — 40.0% operating margin
ROCE
6.6%
Weak — 6.6% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+13.5%
Fast-growing sales (13.5% YoY)
EPS YoY
+336.7%
Earnings growing fast (336.7% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency
8/8 quarters
Every recent quarter grew earnings vs last year

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
120%
Turns 120% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
11.6%
Modest free cash flow (11.6%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.29
Conservative — low debt load (0.29)
Interest Cover
9.40x
Comfortably covers interest (9.4x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
12.3x
Attractive valuation — P/E 12.3

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
-0.8
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
0.10%
Small dividend — 0.10% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
-2.4%
Dividend cut (-2.4% YoY) — warning sign

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