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Hexcel Corporation

HXL
38
Aerospace & Defense · Industrials
Price
$103.81
+2.12 (+2.08%)
Market Cap
$7.83B
Winston Score
38
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.

Share count falling — buybacks

5.4% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 84.6M (2021) → 80.0M (2025)

Hexcel makes advanced materials called carbon fiber composites. These are lightweight but very strong materials used to build aircraft, wind turbine blades, and some military equipment. Hexcel sells mostly to aerospace companies like Airbus and Boeing, making it one of the leading suppliers of composite materials to the commercial aviation industry.

Hexcel earns money by selling its composite materials directly to manufacturers. Most of its revenue comes from commercial aerospace, with smaller portions from defense and industrial markets like wind energy. The company operates production facilities in the United States, Europe, and Asia, and its moat comes from long-term supply agreements, specialized manufacturing know-how, and the high cost for customers to switch suppliers. The biggest risk Hexcel faces is its heavy dependence on Boeing and Airbus — if either slows aircraft production, Hexcel's revenue drops quickly, as happened during the COVID-19 pandemic when air travel collapsed.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+8.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

+36.1% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Strong earnings growth

R&D Spend

$56M/ year

Flat (-1% vs prior year)

3.0% of revenue

Below sector average (4%)

Steady R&D investment year-over-year

Insider Activity

1.0%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$54M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth context

Hexcel Corporation is growing revenue at 8% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
25.1%
Modest — 25.1% gross margin
Operating Margin
11.5%
Modest — 11.5% operating margin
ROCE
2.5%
Weak — 2.5% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+2.4%
Nearly flat sales (2.4% YoY)
EPS YoY
-0.7%
Earnings shrinking (-0.7% YoY)

Slight earnings drop. Typical near a cyclical low.

EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
236%
Turns 236% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
11.2%
Modest free cash flow (11.2%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.79
Moderate — manageable debt (0.79)
Interest Cover
4.41x
Adequate interest coverage (4.4x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
68.3x
Expensive — P/E 68.3

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

P/E vs Forward
+37.0
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (68.3 → 31.3)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
0.73%
Small dividend — 0.73% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
+9.4%
Dividend growing modestly (9.4% YoY)

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