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Imperial Oil Limited

IMO
47
Oil & Gas Integrated · Energy
Price
$122.52
+2.75 (+2.30%)
Market Cap
$60.92B
Exchange
New York Stock Exchange American
Winston Score
47
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Share count falling — buybacks

29.3% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 713.2M (2021) → 504.0M (2025)

Imperial Oil Limited is a Canadian energy company that finds, produces, and refines oil and natural gas. It sells gasoline and diesel fuel to everyday drivers through its Esso-branded gas stations, and it also supplies petroleum products to industrial and commercial customers across Canada. Imperial Oil is one of Canada's largest integrated oil companies and is majority-owned by ExxonMobil, which holds roughly 70% of its shares.

The company makes money by selling crude oil, refined fuels, and chemical products, with revenue coming from both its upstream oil production and its downstream refining and retail operations. Imperial Oil operates almost entirely within Canada, with significant oil sands assets in Alberta that give it a large, long-life resource base. Its close relationship with ExxonMobil provides access to technology and capital, which is a meaningful competitive advantage, though the business remains exposed to swings in global oil prices, which can sharply affect profits from one year to the next.

Winston Score History

Politician Trades

1 trades / 12mo

0 Congressional buys and 1 sell on IMO in the last 12 months.

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Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
20.2%
Thin — 20.2% gross margin
Operating Margin
9.9%
Modest — 9.9% operating margin
ROCE
4.7%
Weak — 4.7% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-1.2%
Shrinking sales (-1.2% YoY)
EPS YoY
-32.9%
Earnings shrinking (-32.9% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
0/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
189%
Turns 189% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
7.5%
Modest free cash flow (7.5%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.15
Conservative — low debt load (0.15)
Interest Cover
339.25x
Comfortably covers interest (339.2x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
19.5x
Fair value — P/E 19.5

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
+9.1
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (19.5 → 10.5)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
2.00%
Small dividend — 2.00% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
+21.2%
Dividend growing fast (21.2% YoY)

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