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International Paper Company

IP
23
Packaging & Containers · Consumer Cyclical
Winston Score
23
Winston is worried
Weak fundamentals across most pillars.

International Paper makes cardboard boxes and paper packaging. It sells corrugated containers — the brown boxes used to ship products — to manufacturers, retailers, and e-commerce companies across many industries. It is one of the largest packaging companies in the world and recently completed a major acquisition of DS Smith, a European packaging company.

International Paper earns revenue by selling packaging products directly to businesses, not consumers. It operates primarily in North America and Europe, with the DS Smith deal significantly expanding its European footprint. The company's scale and long-term customer contracts provide some competitive stability, but it faces real pressure from high raw material costs, energy prices, and debt taken on to fund the DS Smith acquisition — factors that help explain its current negative operating and return margins. Integrating DS Smith while managing that debt load is the central challenge the company faces in the near term.

Winston Score History

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+1.2% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

+145.8% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

Insider Activity

1.6%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$1.2B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth context

International Paper Company is growing revenue at 1% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
20.7%
Thin — 20.7% gross margin
Operating Margin
2.9%
Thin — 2.9% operating margin
ROCE
0.7%
Weak — 0.7% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+25.5%
Fast-growing sales (25.5% YoY)
EPS YoY
-630.0%
Earnings shrinking (-630.0% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
N/A
Data not available
FCF Margin
2.2%
Thin free cash flow (2.2%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.61
Moderate — manageable debt (0.61)
Interest Cover
N/A
Data not available

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/M
no trend
Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
4.93%
no trend
Healthy income — 4.93% yield

Generous yield. Worth checking whether the payout is sustainable.

Dividend Growth
+0.0%
no trend
Dividend flat

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