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Kaiser Aluminum Corporation

KALU
50
Aluminum · Basic Materials
Price
$157.78
-2.63 (-1.64%)
Market Cap
$2.58B
Exchange
NASDAQ
Winston Score
50
Winston is curious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Share count rising — dilution

+5.0% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 15.8M (2021) → 16.6M (2025)

Kaiser Aluminum Corporation engages in manufacture and sale of semi-fabricated specialty aluminum mill products in the United States and internationally. The company offers rolled, extruded, and drawn aluminum products used for aerospace and defense, aluminum beverage and food packaging, automotive and general engineering products. The company's automotive extrusions include extruded aluminum products for structural components, crash management systems, anti-lock braking systems, and drawn tubes

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+42.4% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue accelerating

EPS Growth

+187.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

$129M/ year

Rising (+7% vs prior year)

3.8% of revenue

In line with sector average (3%)

R&D investment increasing — building for the future

Insider Activity

2.4%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$30M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue accelerating

Kaiser Aluminum Corporation grew revenue 42% year-over-year and the growth rate is speeding up. That's the kind of momentum growth investors look for — the question is whether margins can follow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
12.0%
Thin — 12.0% gross margin
Operating Margin
8.8%
Modest — 8.8% operating margin
ROCE
5.1%
Weak — 5.1% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+20.8%
Fast-growing sales (20.8% YoY)
EPS YoY
+155.3%
Earnings growing fast (155.3% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency
8/8 quarters
Every recent quarter grew earnings vs last year

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
93%
Modest — 93% of profit becomes cash
FCF Margin
0.7%
Thin free cash flow (0.7%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
1.18
Elevated debt (1.18)
Interest Cover
4.60x
Adequate interest coverage (4.6x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
16.7x
Fair value — P/E 16.7

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
+1.2
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow — slightly cheaper on forward P/E

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
1.91%
Small dividend — 1.91% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
+0.0%
Dividend flat

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