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Kemper Corporation

KMPR
31
Insurance - Property & Casualty · Financial Services
Winston Score
31
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.

Kemper Corporation is an insurance company based in Chicago that sells policies to everyday people and small businesses. Its main products are auto insurance, homeowners insurance, and life insurance. Kemper focuses heavily on the "nonstandard" auto market, meaning it covers drivers who have trouble getting insurance elsewhere — such as those with poor driving records or limited credit history.

Kemper earns money by collecting premiums from policyholders and investing that cash while it waits to pay out claims. The company operates primarily in the United States and generates roughly $4–5 billion in annual revenue. Its niche focus on hard-to-insure drivers gives it a specific market position, but that same customer base tends to file more claims, which squeezes profit margins — as the thin operating margin reflects. The key challenge ahead is improving underwriting discipline and pricing accuracy, since rising claims costs from inflation and severe weather have pressured profitability across its core auto insurance business in recent years.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-6.8% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

-101.9% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

Insider Activity

1.2%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$92M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue declining

Kemper Corporation's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
25.3%
Modest — 25.3% gross margin
Operating Margin
-0.7%
Losing money on operations — -0.7%
ROCE
-0.2%
Weak — -0.2% return on capital

Negative ROIC means the business is losing money on every dollar invested in it.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+0.6%
Nearly flat sales (0.6% YoY)
EPS YoY
-88.5%
Earnings shrinking (-88.5% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
0/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
1177%
Turns 1177% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
9.8%
Modest free cash flow (9.8%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.36
Conservative — low debt load (0.36)
Interest Cover
0.91x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (0.9x)

Interest coverage below 1. Their profits don't cover the interest bill.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
43.7x
no trend
Pricey — P/E 43.7

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

P/E vs Forward
+29.7
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (43.7 → 14.0)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
4.44%
no trend
Healthy income — 4.44% yield

Generous yield. Worth checking whether the payout is sustainable.

Dividend Growth
+1.6%
no trend
Dividend flat

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