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Kinetik Holdings

KNTK
35
Oil & Gas Midstream · Energy
Price
$50.28
+0.41 (+0.82%)
Market Cap
$3.70B
Winston Score
35
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.

Share count rising — dilution

+65.8% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 37.8M (2021) → 62.7M (2025)

Kinetik Holdings is a midstream energy company based in the Permian Basin of West Texas. It does not drill for oil or gas — instead, it builds and operates the pipelines, processing plants, and compression systems that move natural gas and natural gas liquids from the wellhead to larger transmission networks. Its main customers are oil and gas producers operating in the Delaware Basin, one of the most active drilling regions in the United States.

Kinetik earns money by charging producers fees to gather, compress, treat, and process their natural gas — most contracts are fee-based, which provides relatively steady cash flow regardless of commodity prices. The company operates almost entirely in the Permian Basin, making it heavily tied to drilling activity in that one region. Its competitive position comes from owning fixed infrastructure that is expensive to duplicate, but its low ROIC and thin operating margins highlight the capital-intensive nature of the business. The key risk is a slowdown in Permian drilling, which would reduce the volumes flowing through its systems.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-18.2% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

-247.2% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (1%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

33.4%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$720,000 cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue declining

Kinetik Holdings's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
-2.0%
Thin — -2.0% gross margin
Operating Margin
-11.0%
Losing money on operations — -11.0%
ROCE
-1.8%
Weak — -1.8% return on capital

Negative ROIC means the business is losing money on every dollar invested in it.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+6.2%
Slow sales growth (6.2% YoY)
EPS YoY
+167.3%
Earnings growing fast (167.3% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
266%
Turns 266% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
10.9%
Modest free cash flow (10.9%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
N/A
Data not available
Interest Cover
0.46x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (0.5x)

Interest coverage below 1. Their profits don't cover the interest bill.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
19.9x
Fair value — P/E 19.9

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
-1.1
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
6.66%
Healthy income — 6.66% yield

Yield above 6% — often a flag the market is pricing in a cut.

Dividend Growth
+2.9%
Dividend flat

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