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Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings logo

Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings

KNX
36
Trucking · Industrials
Price
$76.68
-0.64 (-0.83%)
Market Cap
$12.46B
Winston Score
36
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.

Share count falling — buybacks

2.5% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 167.1M (2021) → 162.9M (2025)

Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings is one of the largest trucking companies in the United States. It moves freight — things like retail goods, food, and industrial products — across North America for businesses of all sizes. The company operates under several brands, including Knight, Swift, and Heartland, and also runs a less-than-truckload (LTL) segment after acquiring AAA Cooper and other carriers.

Knight-Swift earns money by charging customers to haul their goods, either by the truckload or in shared shipments. It operates primarily in the U.S. and Mexico, with a fleet of tens of thousands of trucks and trailers, making it one of the country's largest asset-based carriers. The trucking industry is highly competitive and sensitive to economic cycles, and Knight-Swift's low operating margin reflects the current freight downturn that has pressured pricing across the industry. The key growth driver is a recovery in freight demand and the continued buildout of its LTL network, which typically carries higher margins than traditional truckload hauling.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+1.4% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

-104.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (4%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

2.9%ownership

Relatively low insider ownership

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$293M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth context

Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings is growing revenue at 1% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
9.6%
Thin — 9.6% gross margin
Operating Margin
1.6%
Thin — 1.6% operating margin
ROCE
0.3%
Weak — 0.3% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+1.1%
Nearly flat sales (1.1% YoY)
EPS YoY
-77.8%
Earnings shrinking (-77.8% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
3824%
Turns 3824% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
12.7%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (12.7%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.28
Conservative — low debt load (0.28)
Interest Cover
1.41x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (1.4x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
367.9x
Expensive — P/E 367.9

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

P/E vs Forward
+331.3
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (367.9 → 36.7)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
0.99%
Small dividend — 0.99% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
+11.8%
Dividend growing fast (11.8% YoY)

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