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Kodiak Gas Services

KGS
66
Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · Energy
Price
$65.19
-0.75 (-1.14%)
Market Cap
$6.58B
Winston Score
66
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.

Share count rising — dilution

+16.6% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 75.0M (2021) → 87.5M (2025)

Kodiak Gas Services is a company that rents and operates large engines and compressors used in the natural gas industry. These machines help push natural gas through pipelines so it can travel from wells to homes and businesses. Kodiak is one of the largest contract compression service providers in the United States, serving oil and gas producers mainly in major basins like the Permian and Eagle Ford.

Kodiak makes most of its money by charging customers a monthly fee to use its compression equipment, which is a contract-based model that creates steady, recurring revenue. The company operates almost entirely in the U.S. and has a large fleet of horsepower under contract, giving it scale advantages over smaller competitors. Its main growth driver is rising natural gas production and pipeline infrastructure buildout, but its biggest risk is that a drop in energy prices could cause producers to cut activity and reduce demand for compression services.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+7.5% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

+47.6% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Strong earnings growth

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (1%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

36.1%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$3M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth context

Kodiak Gas Services is growing revenue at 8% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
42.0%
Healthy — 42.0% gross margin
Operating Margin
30.3%
Excellent — 30.3% operating margin
ROCE
8.1%
Below par — 8.1% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+12.8%
Fast-growing sales (12.8% YoY)
EPS YoY
+53.2%
Earnings growing fast (53.2% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
745%
Turns 745% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
21.7%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (21.7%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.04
Conservative — low debt load (0.04)
Interest Cover
1.78x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (1.8x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
70.9x
Expensive — P/E 70.9

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

P/E vs Forward
+52.7
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (70.9 → 18.1)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
2.83%
Moderate income — 2.83% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend Growth
+14.3%
Dividend growing fast (14.3% YoY)

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