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Leidos Holdings

LDOS
36
Information Technology Services · Technology
Price
$106.48
-1.81 (-1.67%)
Market Cap
$13.39B
Winston Score
36
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.

Share count falling — buybacks

7.4% over 5y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 143.0M (2021) → 132.4M (2026)

Leidos is a technology and engineering company that works almost entirely for the U.S. government. It builds and runs complex systems for the military, intelligence agencies, and civilian departments like the Department of Homeland Security — things like cybersecurity tools, satellite systems, health IT platforms, and airport security scanners. It is one of the largest government IT contractors in the United States.

Leidos makes money through long-term government contracts, where it gets paid to deliver technology solutions, run systems, or provide ongoing services. Nearly all of its roughly $15 billion in annual revenue comes from U.S. federal customers, which gives it stable, predictable cash flows but also heavy dependence on government budgets. Its main competitive advantage is deep security clearances and long-standing agency relationships that are hard for new competitors to replicate. The biggest risk the company faces is federal budget cuts or continuing resolutions that delay or reduce contract spending.

Winston Score History

Politician Trades

4 trades / 12mo

1 Congressional buy and 3 sells on LDOS in the last 12 months.

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-3.6% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

+18.2% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady EPS growth

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (15%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

0.9%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$1.2B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue declining

Leidos Holdings's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin
16.0%
Thin — 16.0% gross margin
Operating Margin
11.2%
Modest — 11.2% operating margin
ROCE
4.6%
Weak — 4.6% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+3.7%
Slow sales growth (3.7% YoY)
EPS YoY
-7.2%
Earnings shrinking (-7.2% YoY)

Slight earnings drop. Typical near a cyclical low.

EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
137%
Turns 137% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
9.3%
Modest free cash flow (9.3%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
1.09
Elevated debt (1.09)
Interest Cover
9.63x
Comfortably covers interest (9.6x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
10.5x
Attractive valuation — P/E 10.5

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
+1.8
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow — slightly cheaper on forward P/E

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
1.58%
Small dividend — 1.58% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
+7.0%
Dividend growing modestly (7.0% YoY)

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