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Leader Harmonious Drive Systems Co. logo

Leader Harmonious Drive Systems Co.

688017.SS
66
Industrial - Machinery · Industrials
Price
¥326.10
-52.51 (-13.87%)
Market Cap
¥59.78B
Exchange
Shanghai Stock Exchange
Winston Score
66
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.

Share count rising — dilution

+11.7% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 168.6M (2021) → 188.3M (2025)

Leader Harmonious Drive Systems Co., Ltd. is a Chinese company that makes harmonic drive reducers — precision mechanical components that control the movement of robotic arms and automated machinery. Its main customers are manufacturers of industrial robots, collaborative robots, and factory automation equipment. The company is one of China's leading domestic producers of harmonic reducers, a market historically dominated by Japanese suppliers like Harmonic Drive Systems.

The company earns revenue by selling these precision components directly to robot and equipment manufacturers, primarily within China. It operates almost entirely in the Chinese market, benefiting from strong domestic demand as Chinese manufacturers push to automate their factories and reduce reliance on foreign parts. Its competitive position rests on import substitution — Chinese robot makers increasingly prefer local suppliers for cost and supply-chain reasons. The key growth driver is China's continued robotics expansion, but the main risk is intense price competition from both domestic rivals and established Japanese suppliers who still hold a quality advantage in high-end applications.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+43.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue accelerating

EPS Growth

+63.6% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Strong earnings growth

R&D Spend

$0/ year

Declining (-100% vs prior year)

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (4%)

R&D spend declining — could signal cost-cutting or efficiency

Insider Activity

38.1%ownership

Insiders own a meaningful stake in the company

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$2.1B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue accelerating

Leader Harmonious Drive Systems Co. grew revenue 43% year-over-year and the growth rate is speeding up. That's the kind of momentum growth investors look for — the question is whether margins can follow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
33.6%
Modest — 33.6% gross margin
Operating Margin
12.0%
Healthy — 12.0% operating margin
ROCE
0.5%
Weak — 0.5% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+51.4%
Fast-growing sales (51.4% YoY)
EPS YoY
+132.8%
Earnings growing fast (132.8% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency
8/8 quarters
Every recent quarter grew earnings vs last year

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
156%
Turns 156% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
18.8%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (18.8%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.01
Conservative — low debt load (0.01)
Interest Cover
69.58x
Comfortably covers interest (69.6x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
434.8x
Expensive — P/E 434.8

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

P/E vs Forward
+248.1
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (434.8 → 186.7)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
0.02%
Small dividend — 0.02% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
N/A
no trend
Data not available

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