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Lennox International

LII
47
Construction · Industrials
Price
$543.93
-14.64 (-2.62%)
Market Cap
$18.93B
Winston Score
47
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Share count falling — buybacks

6.4% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 37.5M (2021) → 35.1M (2025)

Lennox International makes heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) equipment — the systems that keep homes and buildings warm in winter and cool in summer. Its main products include furnaces, air conditioners, and heat pumps sold under the Lennox, Ducane, and Allied Air brands. The company sells primarily to residential homeowners and commercial buildings across North America.

Lennox earns money by selling HVAC equipment and replacement parts through a network of dealers and distributors. Most of its revenue comes from the United States, and the large installed base of existing Lennox systems creates a steady stream of repair and replacement sales that competitors find hard to disrupt. A key growth driver is the ongoing regulatory shift toward higher-efficiency and heat pump systems, which forces homeowners to upgrade older equipment — but rising interest rates and a slowdown in new home construction could reduce demand for new installations in the near term.

Winston Score History

Politician Trades

8 trades / 12mo

6 Congressional buys and 2 sells on LII in the last 12 months.

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Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
30.9%
Modest — 30.9% gross margin
Operating Margin
14.6%
Healthy — 14.6% operating margin
ROCE
5.2%
Weak — 5.2% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-2.0%
Shrinking sales (-2.0% YoY)
EPS YoY
-1.2%
Earnings shrinking (-1.2% YoY)

Slight earnings drop. Typical near a cyclical low.

EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
103%
Turns 103% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
12.6%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (12.6%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
1.61
Elevated debt (1.61)
Interest Cover
20.56x
Comfortably covers interest (20.6x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
24.4x
Growth-priced — P/E 24.4

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

P/E vs Forward
+4.2
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (24.4 → 20.2)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
0.90%
Small dividend — 0.90% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
+10.7%
Dividend growing fast (10.7% YoY)

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