LGI Homes

LGIH

Residential Construction · Consumer Cyclical

Price

$58.48

-2.56 (-4.19%)

Market Cap

$1.36B

Exchange

NASDAQ

Winston Score

Winston is worried

Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.

Share count falling — buybacks

−6.6% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 24.9M (2021) → 23.3M (2025)

LGI Homes, Inc. designs, constructs, and sells homes. It offers entry-level homes, such as attached and detached homes, and active adult homes under the LGI Homes brand name; and luxury series homes under the Terrata Homes brand name. The company also engages in the wholesale business, which include building and selling homes to companies looking to acquire single-family rental properties. As of December 31, 2021, it owned 101 communities. The company serves customers in Texas, Arizona, Florida,

Winston Score History

Politician Trades

9 trades / 12mo

6 Congressional buys and 3 sells on LGIH in the last 12 months.

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Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin

18.7%

Thin — 18.7% gross margin

Operating Margin

-0.2%

Losing money on operations — -0.2%

ROCE

-0.0%

Weak — -0.0% return on capital

Negative ROIC means the business is losing money on every dollar invested in it.

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Growth

Sales YoY

-22.6%

Shrinking sales (-22.6% YoY)

EPS YoY

-60.8%

Earnings shrinking (-60.8% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency

0/8 quarters

Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion

-97%

Weak — only -97% of profit becomes cash

FCF Margin

-4.1%

Burning cash (-4.1%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

Debt / Equity

0.81

Moderate — manageable debt (0.81)

Interest Cover

100.00x

—

Comfortably covers interest (100.0x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)

19.2x

Fair value — P/E 19.2

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward

+0.3

GROWING

Earnings roughly flat

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.

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