Li Auto

Auto - Manufacturers · Consumer Cyclical

Price

$12.39

-0.47 (-3.65%)

Market Cap

$12.51B

Exchange

NASDAQ

Winston Score

Winston is worried

Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.

Share count rising — dilution

+15.6% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 926.7M (2021) → 1.07B (2025)

Li Auto Inc. operates in the energy vehicle market in the People's Republic of China. It designs, develops, manufactures, and sells premium smart electric vehicles. The company's product line comprises MPVs and sport utility vehicles. It offers sales and after sales management, and technology development and corporate management services, as well as purchases manufacturing equipment. The company offers its products through online and offline channels. The company was formerly known as Leading Id

Winston Score History

Politician Trades

2 trades / 12mo

1 Congressional buy and 1 sell on LI in the last 12 months.

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Growth Profile

For growth stock investors

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-32.4% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

-99.8% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$0/ year

↓ Declining (-100% vs prior year)

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (4%)

R&D spend declining — could signal cost-cutting or efficiency

Insider Activity

46.1%ownership

↑ Rising

Insiders increasing their stake — aligned with shareholders

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$56.9B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue declining

Li Auto's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin

17.8%

Thin — 17.8% gross margin

Operating Margin

-1.9%

Losing money on operations — -1.9%

ROCE

-0.6%

Weak — -0.6% return on capital

Negative ROIC means the business is losing money on every dollar invested in it.

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Growth

Sales YoY

-21.3%

Shrinking sales (-21.3% YoY)

EPS YoY

-85.8%

Earnings shrinking (-85.8% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency

2/8 quarters

Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion

-763%

Weak — only -763% of profit becomes cash

FCF Margin

-11.4%

Burning cash (-11.4%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

Debt / Equity

0.13

Conservative — low debt load (0.13)

Interest Cover

N/A

Data not available

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)

11.0x

Attractive valuation — P/E 11.0

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward

-24.6

SLOWING

Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.

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