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Lithia Motors

LAD
32
Auto - Dealerships · Consumer Cyclical
Price
$335.28
-3.88 (-1.14%)
Market Cap
$7.65B
Winston Score
32
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.

Share count falling — buybacks

12.4% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 29.0M (2021) → 25.4M (2025)

Lithia Motors is one of the largest car dealership groups in the United States. It sells new and used cars, trucks, and SUVs across hundreds of dealership locations, representing brands like Toyota, Ford, BMW, and many others. The company serves everyday consumers looking to buy or lease a vehicle, and it also offers vehicle service and repairs.

Lithia makes money several ways: selling vehicles, financing car loans through its lending arm called Driveway Finance, and collecting fees for service, parts, and insurance products. The company operates mostly in the U.S. but has expanded into Canada and the U.K. through acquisitions. Its main competitive advantage is scale — owning hundreds of dealerships gives it purchasing power and cost efficiencies that smaller dealers cannot match. The key risk is that rising interest rates make car loans more expensive, which can slow vehicle sales and squeeze the profit margins that depend heavily on financing income.

Winston Score History

Politician Trades

3 trades / 12mo

2 Congressional buys and 1 sell on LAD in the last 12 months.

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+1.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

-46.1% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (4%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

12.4%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Runway

~6 months

$421M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Short runway — potential dilution ahead through share issuance

Cash watch

Lithia Motors has less than a year of cash at its current burn rate. Growth investors should watch for potential share dilution from future fundraising — that directly reduces your ownership.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

Each metric is explained in plain language so you know exactly what you're looking at. Start your free trial now.

Quality

Gross Margin
15.3%
Thin — 15.3% gross margin
Operating Margin
3.1%
Thin — 3.1% operating margin
ROCE
1.8%
Weak — 1.8% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+2.5%
Nearly flat sales (2.5% YoY)
EPS YoY
-10.1%
Earnings shrinking (-10.1% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
20%
Weak — only 20% of profit becomes cash
FCF Margin
-0.6%
Burning cash (-0.6%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
1.51
Elevated debt (1.51)
Interest Cover
1.96x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (2.0x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
11.7x
Attractive valuation — P/E 11.7

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
+5.3
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (11.7 → 6.4)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
0.76%
Small dividend — 0.76% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
+3.7%
Dividend growing modestly (3.7% YoY)

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