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Lowe's Companies

LOW
34
Home Improvement · Consumer Cyclical
Price
$208.73
-7.43 (-3.44%)
Market Cap
$117.04B
Winston Score
34
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.

Share count falling — buybacks

19.9% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 699.0M (2022) → 560.0M (2026)

Lowe's is a home improvement retailer that sells tools, lumber, appliances, paint, and building materials. Its customers are everyday homeowners doing repairs or renovations, as well as contractors and construction professionals. It is the second-largest home improvement chain in the United States, behind only Home Depot.

Lowe's makes money by selling products directly in its stores and online, with no subscription model — it earns revenue each time a customer buys something. The company operates roughly 1,700 stores, almost entirely in the United States and Canada. Its large store network, strong supplier relationships, and recognizable brand give it a durable position in the market. The biggest risk Lowe's faces is that home improvement spending tends to slow when housing markets cool or interest rates rise, making its revenue sensitive to economic conditions.

Winston Score History

Politician Trades

34 trades / 12mo

18 Congressional buys and 16 sells on LOW in the last 12 months.

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+10.9% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

-11.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (4%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

0.2%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$982M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth + cash flow

Lowe's Companies is a rare growth stock that's already generating positive cash flow while growing at 11%. The Winston Score doesn't fully credit this transition from "burner" to "earner."

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin
39.2%
Modest — 39.2% gross margin
Operating Margin
8.3%
Modest — 8.3% operating margin
ROCE
N/A
Data not available

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Growth

Sales YoY
+0.7%
Nearly flat sales (0.7% YoY)
EPS YoY
-7.8%
Earnings shrinking (-7.8% YoY)

Slight earnings drop. Typical near a cyclical low.

EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
121%
Turns 121% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
6.1%
Modest free cash flow (6.1%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
N/A
Data not available
Interest Cover
6.22x
Adequate interest coverage (6.2x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
19.1x
Fair value — P/E 19.1

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
+4.0
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (19.1 → 15.0)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
2.16%
Moderate income — 2.16% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend Growth
+4.3%
Dividend growing modestly (4.3% YoY)

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