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LyondellBasell Industries N.V.

LYB
17
Chemicals · Basic Materials
Price
$59.19
+1.39 (+2.40%)
Market Cap
$19.11B
Winston Score
17
Winston is worried
Weak fundamentals across most pillars.

Share count falling — buybacks

3.6% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 334.0M (2021) → 322.0M (2025)

LyondellBasell is one of the largest plastics and chemicals companies in the world. It makes the basic building-block materials — like polyethylene and polypropylene — that other companies turn into everyday products such as food packaging, car parts, and household containers. Its customers are manufacturers across industries including automotive, food and beverage, and consumer goods.

The company earns money by buying raw materials like natural gas and oil, processing them into chemicals and plastics, and selling those finished materials to industrial buyers. LyondellBasell operates across North America, Europe, and Asia, with roughly $40 billion in annual revenue. Its scale and large network of production facilities give it some cost advantages, but the business is heavily tied to the spread between raw material costs and selling prices — called the "crack spread" — which can shrink quickly when energy prices rise or demand falls. The current negative operating margin reflects exactly that pressure, and a sustained recovery in chemical demand is the key factor that would improve profitability.

Winston Score History

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-25.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

+76.1% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

$138M/ year

Flat (+2% vs prior year)

0.5% of revenue

Below sector average (3%)

Steady R&D investment year-over-year

Insider Activity

20.3%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$3.4B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue declining

LyondellBasell Industries N.V.'s revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

Each metric is explained in plain language so you know exactly what you're looking at. Start your free trial now.

Quality

Gross Margin
6.5%
Thin — 6.5% gross margin
Operating Margin
-0.6%
Losing money on operations — -0.6%
ROCE
-0.2%
Weak — -0.2% return on capital

Negative ROIC means the business is losing money on every dollar invested in it.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-14.1%
Shrinking sales (-14.1% YoY)
EPS YoY
-156.6%
Earnings shrinking (-156.6% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
0/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
N/A
Data not available
FCF Margin
-2.0%
Burning cash (-2.0%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
1.45
Elevated debt (1.45)
Interest Cover
N/A
Data not available

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/M
Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
7.83%
Healthy income — 7.83% yield

Yield above 6% — often a flag the market is pricing in a cut.

Dividend Growth
-23.6%
Dividend cut (-23.6% YoY) — warning sign

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