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M/I Homes

MHO
34
Residential Construction · Consumer Cyclical
Winston Score
34
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.

M/I Homes builds and sells new single-family homes to everyday buyers across the United States. The company targets first-time buyers, move-up buyers, and empty nesters looking for newly constructed homes in planned communities. It operates in about 17 markets across the Midwest, Mid-Atlantic, and Southern states, making it a mid-sized regional homebuilder.

The company makes money by selling completed homes, with additional revenue from its in-house mortgage and title services, which help buyers finance their purchases. M/I Homes operates entirely in the U.S. and generates roughly $4 billion in annual revenue. Its competitive position comes partly from controlling the full homebuying process — land, construction, and financing — which helps protect margins. The main risk the business faces is interest rate sensitivity, since higher mortgage rates reduce how many people can afford to buy a new home, which directly pressures sales volume and pricing power.

Winston Score History

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
22.0%
Thin — 22.0% gross margin
Operating Margin
9.3%
Modest — 9.3% operating margin
ROCE
2.1%
Weak — 2.1% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-1.5%
Shrinking sales (-1.5% YoY)
EPS YoY
-30.1%
Earnings shrinking (-30.1% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
0/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
58%
Weak — only 58% of profit becomes cash
FCF Margin
4.6%
Thin free cash flow (4.6%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.30
Conservative — low debt load (0.30)
Interest Cover
5.58x
Adequate interest coverage (5.6x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
11.0x
no trend
Attractive valuation — P/E 11.0

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
+1.5
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow — slightly cheaper on forward P/E

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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