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Mativ Holdings

MATV
32
Paper, Lumber & Forest Products · Basic Materials
Price
$8.02
-0.19 (-2.31%)
Market Cap
$442.0M
Winston Score
32
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.

Share count rising — dilution

+73.9% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 31.4M (2021) → 54.6M (2025)

Mativ Holdings makes specialty materials — thin, engineered papers and fiber-based products used in everyday items like cigarette filters, tea bags, medical packaging, and industrial tapes. Its customers include tobacco companies, food and beverage brands, healthcare firms, and industrial manufacturers. Mativ was formed in 2022 when two specialty materials companies, Schweitzer-Mauduit and Neenah, merged into one.

The company earns revenue by selling these specialty materials to business customers, not directly to consumers. It operates globally, with manufacturing facilities across North America, Europe, and Asia, and generates roughly $2 billion in annual sales. Its main competitive advantage is deep technical expertise in making very specific, hard-to-replicate materials — but the negative ROIC and thin margins suggest the merger has not yet delivered the expected cost savings, and paying down the significant debt taken on during the combination remains the company's most pressing financial challenge.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-1.1% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

+97.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Strong earnings growth

R&D Spend

$24M/ year

Flat (+3% vs prior year)

1.2% of revenue

Below sector average (3%)

Steady R&D investment year-over-year

Insider Activity

9.3%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Runway

~3 years

$82M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

$82M cash & investments at current burn rate

Revenue declining

Mativ Holdings's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
14.4%
Thin — 14.4% gross margin
Operating Margin
1.8%
Thin — 1.8% operating margin
ROCE
0.6%
Weak — 0.6% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+0.8%
Nearly flat sales (0.8% YoY)
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
197%
Turns 197% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
5.9%
Thin free cash flow (5.9%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
2.30
Heavy debt load (2.30)
Interest Cover
0.84x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (0.8x)

Interest coverage below 1. Their profits don't cover the interest bill.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
5.8x
Attractive valuation — P/E 5.8

P/E under 10. The price tag is small relative to last year's profit.

P/E vs Forward
-2.7
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
5.54%
Healthy income — 5.54% yield

Generous yield. Worth checking whether the payout is sustainable.

Dividend Growth
+0.0%
Dividend flat

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