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MDA Space

MDA
45
Hardware, Equipment & Parts · Technology
Price
$30.24
-1.18 (-3.76%)
Market Cap
$4.20B
Exchange
New York Stock Exchange
Winston Score
45
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Share count rising — dilution

+9.3% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 118.7M (2021) → 129.7M (2025)

MDA Space Ltd is a Canadian company that builds hardware and technology for the space industry. Its main products include satellite systems, robotic arms, and Earth observation equipment. MDA is best known for building the Canadarm robotic arms used on the International Space Station, making it one of Canada's most recognized space technology companies.

MDA earns revenue by selling hardware, systems, and engineering services to government space agencies and commercial satellite operators. The company operates primarily in Canada but serves customers globally, including NASA, the Canadian Space Agency, and private satellite companies. Its long history with government space programs gives it a strong reputation and recurring contract relationships. The key growth driver is the rapid expansion of commercial satellite constellations — MDA has a large contract to build hundreds of satellites for Telesat's Lightspeed network — but execution risk on large, complex contracts remains a meaningful challenge for the business.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+36.8% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Strong revenue growth

EPS Growth

-10.5% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$60M/ year

Rising (+9% vs prior year)

5.1% of revenue

Below sector average (15%)

R&D investment increasing — building for the future

Insider Activity

9.1%ownership

Insiders own a meaningful stake in the company

Cash Runway

5+ years

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

$398M cash & investments at current burn rate

Strong grower

MDA Space is growing revenue at 37% year-over-year. The Winston Score penalises unprofitable companies, but revenue at this pace tells a different story — this is a company still in "build mode."

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
18.1%
Thin — 18.1% gross margin
Operating Margin
7.0%
Modest — 7.0% operating margin
ROCE
1.5%
Weak — 1.5% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+45.4%
Fast-growing sales (45.4% YoY)
EPS YoY
+5.7%
Modest earnings growth (5.7% YoY)

Single-digit earnings growth — steady but not exciting.

EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
192%
Turns 192% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
-0.1%
Burning cash (-0.1%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.14
Conservative — low debt load (0.14)
Interest Cover
6.44x
Adequate interest coverage (6.4x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
49.6x
Expensive — P/E 49.6

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

P/E vs Forward
+19.5
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (49.6 → 30.1)

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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