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MediaAlpha

MAX
62
Internet Content & Information · Communication Services
Price
$14.12
+0.04 (+0.28%)
Market Cap
$763.4M
Winston Score
62
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.

Share count rising — dilution

+9.0% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 61.3M (2021) → 66.8M (2025)

MediaAlpha runs an online marketplace that connects insurance companies with people who are shopping for insurance. It helps auto, home, and health insurers find potential customers by matching them with consumers who are actively looking to buy a policy. The company sits between insurance carriers and the websites or apps where consumers compare insurance quotes.

MediaAlpha makes money by charging insurance companies each time a consumer clicks on their ad or submits a lead through its platform — a model called performance-based advertising. It operates primarily in the United States and generates roughly $0.5 billion in market value, though its negative return on invested capital signals the business is not yet efficiently profitable. The company's growth is closely tied to how much auto and home insurers are willing to spend on customer acquisition, which means when insurers cut marketing budgets — as many did during the recent hard insurance market — MediaAlpha's revenue can drop sharply.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+17.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

+625.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

$21M/ year

Rising (+8% vs prior year)

1.9% of revenue

Below sector average (12%)

R&D investment increasing — building for the future

Insider Activity

47.8%ownership

Rising

Insiders increasing their stake — aligned with shareholders

Cash Runway

~4 years

$26M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

$26M cash & investments at current burn rate

Growth context

MediaAlpha is growing revenue at 17% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
15.1%
Thin — 15.1% gross margin
Operating Margin
7.2%
Modest — 7.2% operating margin
ROCE
246.3%
Exceptional — 246.3% return on capital

ROIC above 25%. Every dollar invested in the business earns more than 25 cents back per year.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+15.7%
Fast-growing sales (15.7% YoY)
EPS YoY
+152.0%
Earnings growing fast (152.0% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency
6/8 quarters
Earnings grew in most of the last 8 quarters

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
103%
Turns 103% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
3.5%
Thin free cash flow (3.5%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
3.74
Heavy debt load (3.74)
Interest Cover
9.36x
Comfortably covers interest (9.4x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
20.2x
Growth-priced — P/E 20.2

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

P/E vs Forward
+10.5
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (20.2 → 9.7)

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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