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Mercury NZ Limited

MCY.NZ
54
Renewable Utilities · Utilities
Price
NZ$6.70
-0.17 (-2.47%)
Market Cap
NZ$9.50B
Exchange
New Zealand Exchange
Winston Score
54
Winston is curious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 10, 2026 · filings through Dec 31, 2025

Share count rising — dilution

+3.4% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 1.36B (2021) → 1.41B (2025)

Mercury NZ Limited is a New Zealand electricity company that generates and sells power to homes and businesses across the country. It runs a large portfolio of renewable energy assets, mostly hydroelectric and geothermal power stations, making it one of New Zealand's biggest renewable electricity generators. The company also sells electricity directly to retail customers under the Mercury brand.

Mercury makes money by generating electricity and selling it on the wholesale market, then also selling directly to retail customers through fixed and variable-rate plans. It operates entirely within New Zealand and is one of the country's five major integrated electricity companies, giving it a stable position in a regulated market. The company's main competitive strength is its low-cost renewable generation, but its biggest risk is weather dependency — droughts can reduce hydro output and squeeze profits significantly, as New Zealand's electricity prices are sensitive to water storage levels.

Winston Score History

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
27.6%
Modest — 27.6% gross margin
Operating Margin
21.6%
Excellent — 21.6% operating margin
ROCE
5.0%
Weak — 5.0% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-4.7%
Shrinking sales (-4.7% YoY)
EPS YoY
+77.6%
Earnings growing fast (+77.6% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency
3/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
713%
Turns 713% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
3.5%
Thin free cash flow (3.5%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.49
Conservative — low debt load (0.49)
Interest Cover
4.50x
Adequate interest coverage (4.5x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
107.2x
Expensive — P/E 107.2

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

P/E vs Forward
+82.2
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (107.2 → 25.0)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
3.84%
Moderate income — 3.84% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend Growth
+11.0%
Dividend growing fast (11.0% YoY)

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