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Meridian Energy Limited

MEL.NZ
41
Renewable Utilities · Utilities
Price
NZ$5.61
+0.00 (+0.00%)
Market Cap
NZ$14.80B
Exchange
New Zealand Exchange
Winston Score
41
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 10, 2026 · filings through Dec 31, 2025

Share count rising — dilution

+1.6% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 2.56B (2021) → 2.60B (2025)

Meridian Energy is a New Zealand electricity company that generates and sells power using only renewable sources — mainly hydroelectric dams and wind farms. It sells electricity to homes, businesses, and large industrial customers across New Zealand and Australia, and it owns the Powershop retail brand. Meridian is one of the largest electricity generators in New Zealand and is majority-owned by the New Zealand government.

The company makes money by generating electricity and selling it through long-term contracts and spot market prices, as well as through its retail electricity business. Most of its revenue comes from New Zealand, with a smaller presence in Australia. Its competitive advantage comes from owning large, low-cost hydro assets that are difficult to replicate. The main risk is that Meridian's output depends heavily on rainfall — dry years reduce water levels in its lakes, cutting generation and squeezing profits, which makes earnings somewhat unpredictable from year to year.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-6.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

-241.6% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (1%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

50.7%ownership

Insiders own a meaningful stake in the company

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$306M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

→ Burn rate stable

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue declining

Meridian Energy Limited's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
25.3%
Modest — 25.3% gross margin
Operating Margin
21.0%
Excellent — 21.0% operating margin
ROCE
3.9%
Weak — 3.9% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-8.2%
Shrinking sales (-8.2% YoY)
EPS YoY
-196.7%
Earnings shrinking (-196.7% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
N/A
Data not available
FCF Margin
10.8%
Modest free cash flow (10.8%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.21
Conservative — low debt load (0.21)
Interest Cover
9.44x
Comfortably covers interest (9.4x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/M
Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
3.95%
Moderate income — 3.95% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend Growth
+14.0%
Dividend growing fast (14.0% YoY)

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