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MGIC Investment Corporation

MTG
68
Insurance - Specialty · Financial Services
Price
$29.47
+0.23 (+0.79%)
Market Cap
$6.23B
Winston Score
68
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.

Share count falling — buybacks

35.7% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 351.3M (2021) → 225.7M (2025)

MGIC Investment Corporation sells private mortgage insurance, or PMI. When someone buys a home but puts down less than 20%, their lender usually requires mortgage insurance to protect against the risk of the borrower not paying back the loan. MGIC's customers are mainly banks, credit unions, and mortgage lenders across the United States, and the company is one of the largest private mortgage insurers in the country.

MGIC makes money by collecting insurance premiums from lenders and borrowers over the life of a mortgage policy. It operates almost entirely in the United States, and its competitive position benefits from strict government regulations that limit new competitors from easily entering the industry. The biggest risk the company faces is a rise in mortgage defaults — if home prices fall sharply or unemployment climbs, more borrowers stop making payments, which forces MGIC to pay out more claims and hurts its profits.

Winston Score History

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
88.4%
Premium pricing power — 88.4% gross margin
Operating Margin
72.2%
Excellent — 72.2% operating margin
ROCE
3.8%
Weak — 3.8% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-1.2%
Shrinking sales (-1.2% YoY)
EPS YoY
+4.0%
Modest earnings growth (4.0% YoY)

Single-digit earnings growth — steady but not exciting.

EPS Consistency
6/8 quarters
Earnings grew in most of the last 8 quarters

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
98%
Turns 98% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
58.5%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (58.5%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.13
Conservative — low debt load (0.13)
Interest Cover
26.33x
Comfortably covers interest (26.3x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
9.4x
Attractive valuation — P/E 9.4

P/E under 10. The price tag is small relative to last year's profit.

P/E vs Forward
+0.1
GROWING
Earnings roughly flat

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
2.13%
Moderate income — 2.13% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend Growth
+15.4%
Dividend growing fast (15.4% YoY)

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