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MGP Ingredients

MGPI
23
Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries · Consumer Defensive
Price
$17.86
-0.51 (-2.78%)
Market Cap
$381.7M
Exchange
NASDAQ
Winston Score
23
Winston is worried
Weak fundamentals across most pillars.

Share count rising — dilution

+1.8% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 21.0M (2021) → 21.4M (2025)

MGP Ingredients, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, produces and supplies distilled spirits, branded spirits, and food ingredients. It operates through three segments: Distillery Products; Branded Spirits; and Ingredient Solutions. The Distillery Products segment provides food grade alcohol for beverage applications that include bourbon and rye whiskeys, as well as grain neutral spirits, including vodka and gin; and food-grade industrial alcohol, which is used as an ingredient in foods, perso

Winston Score History

Politician Trades

5 trades / 12mo

2 Congressional buys and 3 sells on MGPI in the last 12 months.

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-12.5% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

<−1,000% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (2%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

32.5%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$10M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue declining

MGP Ingredients's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
31.6%
Modest — 31.6% gross margin
Operating Margin
-162.7%
Losing money on operations — -162.7%
ROCE
-21.0%
Weak — -21.0% return on capital

Negative ROIC means the business is losing money on every dollar invested in it.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-20.4%
Shrinking sales (-20.4% YoY)
EPS YoY
-2575.6%
Earnings shrinking (-2575.6% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
0/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
N/A
Data not available
FCF Margin
10.4%
Modest free cash flow (10.4%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.42
Conservative — low debt load (0.42)
Interest Cover
N/A
Data not available

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/M
Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
2.83%
Moderate income — 2.83% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend Growth
+0.0%
Dividend flat

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