Mission Produce (AVO) Stock Analysis & Winston Score

Mission Produce, Inc. engages in sourcing, producing, packaging, and distributing avocados in the United States and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Marketing and Distribution, and International Farming. It also provides value-added services, including ripening, bagging, custom packing, and logistical management. The company serves retail, wholesale, and foodservice customers. The company was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Oxnard, California.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

For growth stock investors

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-16.6% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

-118.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (2%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

44.4%ownership

↑ Rising

Insiders increasing their stake — aligned with shareholders

Cash Runway

~9 months

$45M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Short runway — potential dilution ahead through share issuance

Cash watch

Mission Produce has less than a year of cash at its current burn rate. Growth investors should watch for potential share dilution from future fundraising — that directly reduces your ownership.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Share count broadly stable

+0.4% over 4y

The share count has stayed roughly flat over this period — little dilution or buyback activity.

Diluted shares outstanding: 71.1M (2021) → 71.3M (2025)

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin

11.3%

Thin — 11.3% gross margin

Operating Margin

3.4%

Thin — 3.4% operating margin

ROCE

1.4%

Weak — 1.4% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY

+1.9%

Nearly flat sales (1.9% YoY)

EPS YoY

+1848.7%

Earnings growing fast (1848.7% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency

4/8 quarters

Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion

262%

Turns 262% of profit into real cash

FCF Margin

2.9%

Thin free cash flow (2.9%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity

0.19

Conservative — low debt load (0.19)

Interest Cover

8.06x

Comfortably covers interest (8.1x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)

29.3x

Growth-priced — P/E 29.3

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

P/E vs Forward

+12.1

GROWING

Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (29.3 → 17.2)

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.

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