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Mitsubishi Heavy Industries

7011.T
56
Industrial - Machinery · Industrials
Price
¥3852.00
+171.00 (+4.65%)
Market Cap
¥12.94T
Exchange
JPX
Winston Score
56
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.

Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (MHI) is a large Japanese industrial company that builds complex, heavy equipment. Its main products include gas turbines, aircraft components, ships, defense systems, and space rockets. Customers range from power utilities and airlines to the Japanese government and military.

MHI earns money by selling large equipment and long-term maintenance contracts, which provide steady recurring revenue after the initial sale. The company operates mainly in Japan but has significant international sales, particularly in energy and aerospace. It is one of Japan's most important defense contractors, giving it a stable government customer base that competitors find hard to displace. The key growth driver is rising global demand for gas turbines used in power generation, including as a backup to renewable energy, alongside increased Japanese defense spending — though the main risk is that large, complex projects can run over budget and delay revenue recognition significantly.

Winston Score History

Share count broadly stable

+0.0% over 4y

The share count has stayed roughly flat over this period — little dilution or buyback activity.

Diluted shares outstanding: 3.36B (2022) → 3.36B (2026)

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
22.0%
Thin — 22.0% gross margin
Operating Margin
11.0%
Modest — 11.0% operating margin
ROCE
4.6%
Weak — 4.6% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-1.1%
Shrinking sales (-1.1% YoY)
EPS YoY
+35.3%
Earnings growing fast (35.3% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency
8/8 quarters
Every recent quarter grew earnings vs last year

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
284%
Turns 284% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
15.3%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (15.3%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.28
Conservative — low debt load (0.28)
Interest Cover
20.86x
Comfortably covers interest (20.9x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
39.0x
Pricey — P/E 39.0

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

P/E vs Forward
+16.1
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (39.0 → 22.8)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
0.65%
Small dividend — 0.65% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
-53.0%
Dividend cut (-53.0% YoY) — warning sign

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