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Mizuho Financial Group

MFG
42
Banks - Regional · Financial Services
Price
$9.87
-0.45 (-4.36%)
Market Cap
$120.24B
Exchange
New York Stock Exchange
Winston Score
42
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Share count falling — buybacks

2.1% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 12.67B (2022) → 12.41B (2026)

Mizuho Financial Group is one of Japan's three largest banks. It offers a wide range of financial services, including everyday banking, loans, investment banking, asset management, and trust services. Its customers include regular consumers, small businesses, large corporations, and governments across Japan and around the world.

Mizuho earns money through interest on loans, fees for financial advice and transactions, and commissions on investment products. It operates primarily in Japan but has a significant international presence in the Americas, Europe, and Asia. Its size and deep relationships with major Japanese corporations give it a stable customer base, though Japanese banks face a long-running challenge: decades of very low interest rates in Japan have squeezed the profit they can earn on loans. A key growth driver is Japan's recent shift toward higher interest rates, which could meaningfully boost Mizuho's lending income — but slower global economic growth remains a persistent risk.

Winston Score History

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
51.7%
Healthy — 51.7% gross margin
Operating Margin
13.4%
Healthy — 13.4% operating margin
ROCE
0.4%
Weak — 0.4% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-2.1%
Shrinking sales (-2.1% YoY)
EPS YoY
+14.3%
Earnings growing (14.3% YoY)

Healthy double-digit earnings growth — what compounders look like.

EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
59%
Weak — only 59% of profit becomes cash
FCF Margin
5.7%
Thin free cash flow (5.7%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
5.88
Heavy debt load (5.88)
Interest Cover
0.29x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (0.3x)

Interest coverage below 1. Their profits don't cover the interest bill.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
0.1x
Attractive valuation — P/E 0.1

P/E under 10. The price tag is small relative to last year's profit.

P/E vs Forward
+0.0
GROWING
Earnings roughly flat

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
1.77%
Small dividend — 1.77% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
+43.3%
Dividend growing fast (43.3% YoY)

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