Moderna

MRNA

Biotechnology · Healthcare

Price

$61.82

-1.33 (-2.11%)

Market Cap

$24.53B

Exchange

NASDAQ

Winston Score

Winston is worried

Weak fundamentals across most pillars.

Share count falling — buybacks

−9.7% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 431.0M (2021) → 389.0M (2025)

Moderna, Inc., a biotechnology company, discovers, develops, and commercializes messenger RNA therapeutics and vaccines for the treatment of infectious diseases, immuno-oncology, rare diseases, cardiovascular diseases, and auto-immune diseases in the United States, Europe, and internationally. Its respiratory vaccines include COVID-19, flu, respiratory syncytial virus, Endemic HCoV, and hMPV+PIV3 vaccines; latent vaccines comprise cytomegalovirus, epstein-barr virus, human immunodeficiency virus

Winston Score History

Politician Trades

7 trades / 12mo

4 Congressional buys and 3 sells on MRNA in the last 12 months.

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Growth Profile

For growth stock investors

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+263.6% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue accelerating

EPS Growth

-34.9% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$3.1B/ year

↓ Declining (-31% vs prior year)

161.1% of revenue

9.0x the sector average (18%)

R&D spend declining — could signal cost-cutting or efficiency

Insider Activity

6.7%ownership

→ Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Runway

~8 months

$1.9B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Short runway — potential dilution ahead through share issuance

Revenue accelerating

Moderna grew revenue 264% year-over-year and the growth rate is speeding up. That's the kind of momentum growth investors look for — the question is whether margins can follow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin

-145.5%

Thin — -145.5% gross margin

Operating Margin

-356.8%

Losing money on operations — -356.8%

ROCE

-17.2%

Weak — -17.2% return on capital

Negative ROIC means the business is losing money on every dollar invested in it.

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Growth

Sales YoY

-29.1%

Shrinking sales (-29.1% YoY)

EPS YoY

N/A

Data not available

EPS Consistency

0/8 quarters

Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion

N/A

Data not available

FCF Margin

-71.1%

Burning cash (-71.1%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

Debt / Equity

0.09

Conservative — low debt load (0.09)

Interest Cover

N/A

Data not available

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)

N/M

Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful

P/E vs Forward

N/A

not available

Data not available

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.

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