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Modine Manufacturing Company

MOD
45
Auto - Parts · Consumer Cyclical
Price
$229.34
+3.11 (+1.37%)
Market Cap
$12.18B
Winston Score
45
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Share count rising — dilution

+2.9% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 52.5M (2022) → 54.0M (2026)

Modine Manufacturing makes thermal management products — basically equipment that controls heat in machines and buildings. Its main products include heat exchangers, cooling systems, and HVAC units sold to data centers, electric vehicles, commercial buildings, and industrial equipment makers. The company has been around for over 100 years and has shifted its focus toward faster-growing markets like data center cooling.

Modine earns revenue by selling hardware and engineered components directly to manufacturers and building operators, not through subscriptions. It operates mainly in North America and Europe, with roughly $2.5 billion in annual sales. Its competitive edge comes from specialized engineering know-how and long-term customer relationships that are hard to replace quickly. The biggest growth driver right now is demand for data center cooling, as artificial intelligence infrastructure requires far more heat management than traditional servers — but that same concentration in one fast-moving market is also a key risk if spending slows.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+7.2% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

+89.8% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

$0/ year

Declining (-100% vs prior year)

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (4%)

R&D spend declining — could signal cost-cutting or efficiency

Insider Activity

2.0%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$72M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth context

Modine Manufacturing Company is growing revenue at 7% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
25.9%
Modest — 25.9% gross margin
Operating Margin
11.5%
Modest — 11.5% operating margin
ROCE
5.5%
Weak — 5.5% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+13.2%
Fast-growing sales (13.2% YoY)
EPS YoY
-39.9%
Earnings shrinking (-39.9% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
139%
Turns 139% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
0.3%
Thin free cash flow (0.3%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.49
Conservative — low debt load (0.49)
Interest Cover
11.33x
Comfortably covers interest (11.3x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
126.0x
Expensive — P/E 126.0

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

P/E vs Forward
+95.8
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (126.0 → 30.2)

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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