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Modiv

MDV
46
REIT - Industrial · Real Estate
Price
$18.46
-0.39 (-2.07%)
Market Cap
$190.6M
Exchange
New York Stock Exchange
Winston Score
46
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Share count rising — dilution

+54.8% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 7.5M (2021) → 11.7M (2025)

Modiv Industrial is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that owns and leases industrial properties across the United States. Its tenants are mostly manufacturers who sign long-term leases and use the buildings to make physical goods. The company focuses specifically on "single-tenant net lease" industrial properties, meaning one company rents each building and pays most of the operating costs directly.

Modiv makes money by collecting rent from its tenants under long-term lease agreements, which creates a fairly predictable income stream. It operates entirely in the U.S. and is a small company with a market cap around $200 million, making it one of the smaller publicly traded industrial REITs. Its leases are structured so rent increases are built in over time, which helps protect against inflation, but the company's small size limits its ability to diversify and makes it more vulnerable if a major tenant stops paying rent or vacates a property.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-0.8% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

-733.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (1%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

8.4%ownership

Insiders own a meaningful stake in the company

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$445M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue declining

Modiv's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
92.3%
Premium pricing power — 92.3% gross margin
Operating Margin
35.9%
Excellent — 35.9% operating margin
ROCE
1.0%
Weak — 1.0% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-0.6%
Shrinking sales (-0.6% YoY)
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
EPS Consistency
0/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
10540%
Turns 10540% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
34.3%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (34.3%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
1.72
Elevated debt (1.72)
Interest Cover
1.20x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (1.2x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/M
Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
6.29%
Healthy income — 6.29% yield

Yield above 6% — often a flag the market is pricing in a cut.

Dividend Growth
+0.0%
Dividend flat

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