Molson Coors Canada logo

Molson Coors Canada

TPX-B.TO
34
Beverages - Alcoholic · Consumer Defensive
Price
C$60.50
+3.29 (+5.75%)
Market Cap
C$11.36B
Exchange
Toronto Stock Exchange
Winston Score
34
Winston looking serious
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.

Winston Score below 40. The stock fails on most of our quality checks.

Molson Coors Canada is the Canadian subsidiary of Molson Coors Beverage Company, one of the largest beer makers in the world. It brews and sells well-known beer brands including Molson Canadian, Coors Light, and Miller Lite, selling primarily to bars, restaurants, grocery stores, and liquor retailers across Canada. The company has deep roots in Canada — Molson is one of North America's oldest breweries, founded in Montreal in 1786.

The company earns money by selling beer and other alcoholic beverages, with revenue coming from both its own brands and licensed brands it produces under agreement. Its main competitive advantage is brand recognition built over centuries, combined with strong distribution networks that are difficult for smaller rivals to replicate. The key challenge facing the business is a long-term decline in beer consumption in Canada, as younger consumers shift toward wine, spirits, cannabis beverages, and non-alcoholic options — putting pressure on volume growth.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+1.8% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

+26.7% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (2%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

6.8%ownership

Insiders own a meaningful stake in the company

Cash Runway

~5 months

$383M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Short runway — potential dilution ahead through share issuance

Winston looking concerned
Cash watch

Molson Coors Canada has less than a year of cash at its current burn rate. Growth investors should watch for potential share dilution from future fundraising — that directly reduces your ownership.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
38.2%
Modest — 38.2% gross margin
Operating Margin
12.4%
Healthy — 12.4% operating margin
ROCE
1.8%
Weak — 1.8% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-0.8%
Shrinking sales (-0.8% YoY)
EPS YoY
-315.7%
Earnings shrinking (-315.7% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
N/A
Data not available
FCF Margin
10.6%
Modest free cash flow (10.6%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.62
Moderate — manageable debt (0.62)
Interest Cover
9.65x
Comfortably covers interest (9.6x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio
N/M
Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
4.76%
Healthy income — 4.76% yield

Generous yield. Worth checking whether the payout is sustainable.

Dividend Growth
+2.8%
Dividend flat

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