Morguard North American Residential Real Estate Investment Trust logo

Morguard North American Residential Real Estate Investment Trust

MRG-UN.TO
44
REIT - Residential · Real Estate
Price
C$17.10
+0.09 (+0.53%)
Market Cap
C$597.5M
Exchange
Toronto Stock Exchange
Winston Score
44
Winston looking serious
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Winston Score between 40 and 70. The stock passes some quality checks but not all.

Morguard North American Residential REIT owns and operates apartment buildings across Canada and the United States. Its "customers" are everyday renters who pay monthly rent to live in its residential units. The trust focuses on multi-suite residential properties, primarily in mid-sized urban and suburban markets, and is externally managed by Morguard Corporation, one of Canada's larger real estate companies.

The REIT earns money by collecting rent from tenants, which generates a relatively steady stream of income that it distributes to unitholders. It operates roughly 43 properties with over 13,000 apartment suites spread across Canadian provinces and several U.S. states, giving it geographic diversification. Its main competitive advantage is stable, needs-based demand for rental housing, but rising interest rates and higher operating costs put pressure on profit margins and make refinancing existing debt more expensive — a key risk for a leveraged real estate business like this one.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-4.2% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

-32.7% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (1%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

28.1%ownership

Insiders own a meaningful stake in the company

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$81M cash & investments

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Winston looking concerned
Revenue declining

Morguard North American Residential Real Estate Investment Trust's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
17.8%
Thin — 17.8% gross margin
Operating Margin
17.8%
Healthy — 17.8% operating margin
ROCE
0.4%
Weak — 0.4% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+0.3%
Nearly flat sales (0.3% YoY)
EPS YoY
-19.0%
Earnings shrinking (-19.0% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
88%
Modest — 88% of profit becomes cash
FCF Margin
25.7%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (25.7%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.86
Moderate — manageable debt (0.86)
Interest Cover
2.38x
Tight — interest eats into profit (2.4x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio
8.7x
Attractive valuation — P/E 8.7

P/E under 10. The price tag is small relative to last year's profit.

P/E vs Forward
-1.7
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
4.65%
Healthy income — 4.65% yield

Generous yield. Worth checking whether the payout is sustainable.

Dividend Growth
+1.0%
Dividend flat

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