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Mueller Water Products

MWA
56
Industrial - Machinery · Industrials
Price
$25.46
-0.48 (-1.85%)
Market Cap
$3.98B
Winston Score
56
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.

Share count falling — buybacks

1.1% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 159.2M (2021) → 157.5M (2025)

Mueller Water Products makes the pipes, valves, hydrants, and smart sensors that move drinking water through cities and towns across the United States. Its customers are mainly local water utilities and municipalities — the government agencies responsible for delivering clean water to homes and businesses. The company is one of the largest domestic manufacturers of water infrastructure products, including the well-known Mueller and Echologics brands.

Mueller earns revenue by selling physical hardware like fire hydrants and gate valves, as well as leak-detection technology and monitoring systems that help utilities find problems in aging pipes. It operates almost entirely in North America and generates roughly $1 billion in annual revenue. Its competitive moat comes from long-standing utility relationships, strict product certifications, and the high cost of switching suppliers mid-project. The key growth driver is the ongoing need to replace aging U.S. water infrastructure, supported by federal spending programs like the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act — though any slowdown in municipal budgets or federal funding could weigh on demand.

Winston Score History

Politician Trades

4 trades / 12mo

3 Congressional buys and 1 sell on MWA in the last 12 months.

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+5.5% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

+15.2% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady EPS growth

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (4%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

1.2%ownership

Relatively low insider ownership

Cash Runway

~4 years

$421M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

$421M cash & investments at current burn rate

Growth context

Mueller Water Products is growing revenue at 6% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin
37.6%
Modest — 37.6% gross margin
Operating Margin
20.9%
Excellent — 20.9% operating margin
ROCE
5.3%
Weak — 5.3% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+9.7%
Steady sales growth (9.7% YoY)
EPS YoY
+50.4%
Earnings growing fast (50.4% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency
8/8 quarters
Every recent quarter grew earnings vs last year

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
71%
Modest — 71% of profit becomes cash
FCF Margin
6.8%
Modest free cash flow (6.8%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.42
Conservative — low debt load (0.42)
Interest Cover
17.69x
Comfortably covers interest (17.7x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
18.3x
Fair value — P/E 18.3

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
+1.1
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow — slightly cheaper on forward P/E

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
1.09%
Small dividend — 1.09% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
+4.5%
Dividend growing modestly (4.5% YoY)

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