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Murphy Oil Corporation

MUR
41
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production · Energy
Price
$36.83
+1.36 (+3.83%)
Market Cap
$5.28B
Winston Score
41
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Share count falling — buybacks

6.7% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 154.3M (2021) → 144.0M (2025)

Murphy Oil Corporation finds and pulls oil and natural gas out of the ground. The company drills wells in the United States, Canada, and offshore in places like the Gulf of Mexico and Southeast Asia. It sells the crude oil and natural gas it produces to refiners, utilities, and other energy companies.

Murphy makes money by selling the oil and gas it extracts, so its revenue rises and falls with commodity prices. It operates across multiple countries, giving it some geographic diversity, but it remains a mid-sized producer with limited ability to control the prices it receives. The biggest risk Murphy faces is a sustained drop in oil and gas prices, which would quickly squeeze profits and limit its ability to fund new drilling — as reflected in its currently low return on invested capital of just 1.6%.

Winston Score History

Politician Trades

3 trades / 12mo

0 Congressional buys and 3 sells on MUR in the last 12 months.

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Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
26.0%
Modest — 26.0% gross margin
Operating Margin
18.7%
Healthy — 18.7% operating margin
ROCE
2.0%
Weak — 2.0% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-4.1%
Shrinking sales (-4.1% YoY)
EPS YoY
-77.5%
Earnings shrinking (-77.5% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
0/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
1507%
Turns 1507% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
6.4%
Modest free cash flow (6.4%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.36
Conservative — low debt load (0.36)
Interest Cover
N/A
Data not available

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
62.4x
Expensive — P/E 62.4

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

P/E vs Forward
+54.0
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (62.4 → 8.4)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
4.28%
Healthy income — 4.28% yield

Generous yield. Worth checking whether the payout is sustainable.

Dividend Growth
+8.0%
Dividend growing modestly (8.0% YoY)

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