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Nabtesco Corporation

NCTKF
55
Industrial - Machinery · Industrials
Exchange
Other OTC
Winston Score
55
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.
Data as of Aug 9, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026

Nabtesco Corporation is a Japanese industrial machinery company that makes precision motion control equipment. Its most important products are cycloidal gear reducers — special mechanical parts that help robots and factory machines move with extreme accuracy. These reducers are used by industrial robot makers, aerospace companies, and railway operators around the world.

Nabtesco earns money by selling hardware components and systems to manufacturers and transportation companies. It is headquartered in Tokyo and generates most of its revenue in Japan, though it also sells into China, Europe, and North America. The company holds a dominant share of the global market for precision gear reducers used in industrial robots, which gives it a strong competitive position. However, its growth is closely tied to capital spending by robot manufacturers and factory automation trends, meaning a slowdown in Chinese manufacturing investment or a broader industrial downturn could weigh heavily on demand.

Winston Score History

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
30.1%
Modest — 30.1% gross margin
Operating Margin
8.7%
Modest — 8.7% operating margin
ROCE
2.2%
Weak — 2.2% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-7.7%
Shrinking sales (-7.7% YoY)
EPS YoY
+76.5%
Earnings growing fast (+76.5% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency
6/8 quarters
Earnings grew in most of the last 8 quarters

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
159%
Turns 159% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
8.3%
Modest free cash flow (8.3%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.17
Conservative — low debt load (0.17)
Interest Cover
27.14x
Comfortably covers interest (27.1x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
29.3x
no trend
Growth-priced — P/E 29.3

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

P/E vs Forward
+29.2
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (29.3 → 0.1)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
1.70%
no trend
Small dividend — 1.70% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
-0.9%
no trend
Dividend cut (-0.9% YoY) — warning sign

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