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Nabtesco Corporation

NCTKY
58
Industrial - Machinery · Industrials
Price
$14.51
-1.00 (-6.45%)
Market Cap
$3.40B
Exchange
Other OTC
Winston Score
58
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.
Data as of Aug 9, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026

Share count falling — buybacks

1.6% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 242.5M (2021) → 238.6M (2025)

Nabtesco Corporation is a Japanese industrial machinery company that makes precision motion control equipment. Its most important products are cycloidal gear reducers — specialized mechanical parts that help robots move with extreme accuracy. These reducers are used in factory robots, and Nabtesco holds a dominant share of the global market for this specific component, supplying major robotics manufacturers worldwide. The company also makes equipment for aircraft, trains, and construction machinery.

Nabtesco earns revenue by selling hardware components and systems to industrial customers, primarily manufacturers in automation, aerospace, and transportation. Most of its business is in Japan and Asia, though it has a global customer base through the robotics supply chain. Its strong position in precision gear reducers gives it a meaningful competitive moat, since switching suppliers in robotics manufacturing is difficult and costly. The key growth driver is the long-term expansion of factory automation and industrial robotics, while a slowdown in global manufacturing investment remains the main near-term risk.

Winston Score History

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
30.1%
Modest — 30.1% gross margin
Operating Margin
8.7%
Modest — 8.7% operating margin
ROCE
2.3%
Weak — 2.3% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-6.4%
Shrinking sales (-6.4% YoY)
EPS YoY
+82.6%
Earnings growing fast (+82.6% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency
7/8 quarters
Every recent quarter grew earnings vs last year

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
162%
Turns 162% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
8.5%
Modest free cash flow (8.5%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.17
Conservative — low debt load (0.17)
Interest Cover
27.09x
Comfortably covers interest (27.1x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
0.2x
Attractive valuation — P/E 0.2

P/E under 10. The price tag is small relative to last year's profit.

P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
1.87%
Small dividend — 1.87% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
-6.5%
Dividend cut (-6.5% YoY) — warning sign

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