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National Bank Holdings Corporation

NBHC
40
Banks - Regional · Financial Services
Price
$46.49
-0.59 (-1.25%)
Market Cap
$1.76B
Winston Score
40
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Share count rising — dilution

+22.9% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 31.1M (2021) → 38.2M (2025)

National Bank Holdings Corporation is a regional bank based in the United States. It offers everyday banking services like checking and savings accounts, loans, and mortgages to individuals and small-to-medium-sized businesses. The bank operates primarily in Colorado, Texas, and a handful of other western and mountain states.

The company makes money the traditional banking way — it collects deposits from customers and earns interest by lending that money out, while also charging fees for various services. With a market cap of around $1.6 billion, it is a mid-sized regional bank competing against both large national banks and smaller community lenders. Regional banks like this one face a key risk from interest rate changes, since rising or falling rates directly affect how much profit they earn on loans versus what they pay depositors — making the Federal Reserve's rate decisions one of the biggest factors shaping the company's future earnings.

Winston Score History

Politician Trades

1 trades / 12mo

0 Congressional buys and 1 sell on NBHC in the last 12 months.

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+22.8% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

-14.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (7%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

0.0%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Runway

~23 months

$473M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Adequate runway but may need to raise capital within 2 years

Growth context

National Bank Holdings Corporation is growing revenue at 23% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin
69.3%
Premium pricing power — 69.3% gross margin
Operating Margin
14.6%
Healthy — 14.6% operating margin
ROCE
1.4%
Weak — 1.4% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+4.5%
Slow sales growth (4.5% YoY)
EPS YoY
-4.5%
Earnings shrinking (-4.5% YoY)

Slight earnings drop. Typical near a cyclical low.

EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
62%
Modest — 62% of profit becomes cash
FCF Margin
3.7%
Thin free cash flow (3.7%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.13
Conservative — low debt load (0.13)
Interest Cover
0.78x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (0.8x)

Interest coverage below 1. Their profits don't cover the interest bill.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
16.8x
Fair value — P/E 16.8

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
+4.0
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (16.8 → 12.8)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
2.81%
Moderate income — 2.81% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend Growth
+7.8%
Dividend growing modestly (7.8% YoY)

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