National Bank of Canada logo

National Bank of Canada

NA-PC.TO
32
Banks - Diversified · Financial Services
Price
C$26.28
+0.03 (+0.11%)
Market Cap
C$26.19B
Exchange
Toronto Stock Exchange
Winston Score
32
Winston looking serious
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.

Winston Score below 40. The stock fails on most of our quality checks.

National Bank of Canada is one of the six largest banks in Canada. It offers everyday banking services like checking accounts, mortgages, and credit cards to regular people, as well as loans and financial advice to businesses. It also runs a wealth management division and a capital markets arm that helps companies raise money.

The bank earns money through interest on loans, fees for financial services, and commissions on investment products. It operates mainly in Quebec, where it is the dominant bank, though it also has a presence across Canada and some international operations through its capital markets business. Its deep roots in Quebec give it a loyal customer base that competitors find hard to break into. National Bank recently agreed to acquire Canadian Western Bank, a deal that would expand its footprint in Western Canada — completing that integration successfully is a key growth driver, while rising loan defaults in a slowing economy remain the main near-term risk.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+8.7% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

+11.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady EPS growth

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (7%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

0.1%ownership

Relatively low insider ownership

Cash Runway

5+ years

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

$36.8B cash & investments at current burn rate

Winston looking curious
Growth context

National Bank of Canada is growing revenue at 9% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
45.9%
Healthy — 45.9% gross margin
Operating Margin
20.6%
Excellent — 20.6% operating margin
ROCE
1.3%
Weak — 1.3% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+8.4%
Steady sales growth (8.4% YoY)
EPS YoY
-4.2%
Earnings shrinking (-4.2% YoY)

Slight earnings drop. Typical near a cyclical low.

EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
-15%
Weak — only -15% of profit becomes cash
FCF Margin
-3.3%
Burning cash (-3.3%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
2.92
Heavy debt load (2.92)
Interest Cover
0.33x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (0.3x)

Interest coverage below 1. Their profits don't cover the interest bill.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio
16.9x
Fair value — P/E 16.9

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
+14.8
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (16.9 → 2.0)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
2.37%
Moderate income — 2.37% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend Growth
+0.0%
Dividend flat

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