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National Capital Bancorp

NACB
51
Banks - Regional · Financial Services
Price
$79.00
+1.00 (+1.28%)
Market Cap
$90.9M
Winston Score
51
Winston is curious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Share count rising — dilution

+301.6% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 286K (2021) → 1.1M (2025)

National Capital Bancorp, Inc. is a small regional bank holding company based in the Washington, D.C. area. It offers everyday banking services like checking and savings accounts, loans, and mortgages, mainly to individuals and small businesses in its local market. Regional banks like this one compete by building close relationships with customers in their community rather than trying to serve the whole country.

The company makes money primarily through net interest income — it collects interest on loans and pays out less interest on deposits, keeping the difference as profit. With a market cap of around $100 million, it is a very small bank operating in a limited geographic footprint. Its main competitive advantage is local market knowledge and customer relationships, but its low return on invested capital of 1.8% signals thin profitability, and rising interest rates or a slowdown in loan demand in its region could put further pressure on earnings going forward.

Winston Score History

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
63.6%
Premium pricing power — 63.6% gross margin
Operating Margin
21.9%
Excellent — 21.9% operating margin
ROCE
2.7%
Weak — 2.7% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-10.0%
Shrinking sales (-10.0% YoY)
EPS YoY
+11.9%
Earnings growing (11.9% YoY)

Healthy double-digit earnings growth — what compounders look like.

EPS Consistency
6/8 quarters
Earnings grew in most of the last 8 quarters

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
0%
Weak — only 0% of profit becomes cash
FCF Margin
0.0%
Thin free cash flow (0.0%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.21
Conservative — low debt load (0.21)
Interest Cover
3.57x
Tight — interest eats into profit (3.6x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
12.7x
Attractive valuation — P/E 12.7

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
1.14%
Small dividend — 1.14% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
-62.9%
Dividend cut (-62.9% YoY) — warning sign

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