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Navigator Holdings

NVGS
56
Marine Shipping · Industrials
Price
$20.71
-0.50 (-2.36%)
Market Cap
$1.28B
Winston Score
56
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.

Share count rising — dilution

+5.2% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 64.7M (2021) → 68.0M (2025)

Navigator Holdings owns and operates a fleet of ships that transport liquefied gases across the ocean. These gases include things like ethylene, ammonia, and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), which are used to make plastics, fertilizers, and fuel. The company serves chemical producers, energy companies, and traders who need to move these gases between countries.

Navigator makes money by charging customers to use its ships, either through long-term contracts or shorter spot-market deals. It operates globally, with routes connecting the Americas, Europe, and Asia, and its fleet of specialized gas carriers — one of the largest in the world for this type of cargo — gives it an edge over smaller competitors. The main growth driver is rising demand for petrochemical shipping, particularly ethylene exports from the United States, but the business is exposed to shipping rate swings and fuel cost increases that can pressure margins when markets soften.

Winston Score History

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
29.6%
Modest — 29.6% gross margin
Operating Margin
22.3%
Excellent — 22.3% operating margin
ROCE
1.5%
Weak — 1.5% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-1.3%
Shrinking sales (-1.3% YoY)
EPS YoY
+28.1%
Earnings growing fast (28.1% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
173%
Turns 173% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
24.4%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (24.4%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.75
Moderate — manageable debt (0.75)
Interest Cover
2.59x
Tight — interest eats into profit (2.6x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
12.6x
Attractive valuation — P/E 12.6

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
+2.0
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow — slightly cheaper on forward P/E

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
1.40%
Small dividend — 1.40% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
+30.0%
Dividend growing fast (30.0% YoY)

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