NCC AB (publ) logo

NCC AB (publ)

NCC-A.ST
38
Engineering & Construction · Industrials
Price
kr 191.50
+7.00 (+3.79%)
Market Cap
kr 18.73B
Exchange
Stockholm Stock Exchange
Winston Score
38
Winston looking serious
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.

Winston Score below 40. The stock fails on most of our quality checks.

NCC AB is a large Scandinavian construction and property development company based in Sweden. It builds roads, bridges, housing, and commercial buildings, and it also develops and sells properties. Its main customers are governments, municipalities, and private real estate buyers across the Nordic region.

NCC makes money by winning construction contracts and charging for completed projects, as well as by developing land and selling finished properties. It operates primarily in Sweden, Norway, Denmark, and Finland, making it one of the largest construction groups in the Nordics. Its regional scale and long-standing relationships with public-sector clients give it a degree of competitive stability, though construction is a low-margin business where cost overruns and project delays are constant risks. The company's thin operating margin of 3.5% leaves little room for error, and its ability to grow profitably depends heavily on disciplined project selection and managing rising material and labor costs across its home markets.

Winston Score History

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
6.2%
Thin — 6.2% gross margin
Operating Margin
-2.4%
Losing money on operations — -2.4%
ROCE
-2.0%
Weak — -2.0% return on capital

Negative ROIC means the business is losing money on every dollar invested in it.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-11.2%
Shrinking sales (-11.2% YoY)
EPS YoY
-94.0%
Earnings shrinking (-94.0% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
1957%
Turns 1957% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
2.5%
Thin free cash flow (2.5%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.59
Conservative — low debt load (0.59)
Interest Cover
8.78x
Comfortably covers interest (8.8x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio
142.0x
Expensive — P/E 142.0

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

P/E vs Forward
+131.8
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (142.0 → 10.2)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
5.95%
Healthy income — 5.95% yield

Generous yield. Worth checking whether the payout is sustainable.

Dividend Growth
+57.1%
Dividend growing fast (57.1% YoY)

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