NCC AB (publ) logo

NCC AB (publ)

NCC-B.ST
34
Engineering & Construction · Industrials
Price
kr 190.80
+5.80 (+3.14%)
Market Cap
kr 17.37B
Exchange
Stockholm Stock Exchange
Winston Score
34
Winston looking serious
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.

Winston Score below 40. The stock fails on most of our quality checks.

NCC AB is a large construction and property development company based in Sweden. It builds roads, bridges, houses, offices, and other infrastructure for governments, municipalities, and private customers across the Nordic region. NCC is one of the largest construction groups in Scandinavia, operating across Sweden, Norway, Denmark, and Finland.

The company earns money by winning contracts to build things and by developing and selling properties. Its revenue comes from construction contracts, asphalt and road materials production, and property sales. NCC's scale and long history in the Nordic market give it an advantage in winning large public infrastructure tenders, but construction is a low-margin business where cost overruns on big projects can quickly hurt profits. The key growth driver is continued Nordic government spending on infrastructure and housing, while the main risk is rising material and labor costs squeezing already thin margins, as reflected in its current operating margin of around 3.5%.

Winston Score History

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
6.2%
Thin — 6.2% gross margin
Operating Margin
-2.4%
Losing money on operations — -2.4%
ROCE
-2.0%
Weak — -2.0% return on capital

Negative ROIC means the business is losing money on every dollar invested in it.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-11.2%
Shrinking sales (-11.2% YoY)
EPS YoY
-94.0%
Earnings shrinking (-94.0% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
1957%
Turns 1957% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
2.5%
Thin free cash flow (2.5%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.59
Conservative — low debt load (0.59)
Interest Cover
8.78x
Comfortably covers interest (8.8x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio
142.0x
Expensive — P/E 142.0

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

P/E vs Forward
+131.8
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (142.0 → 10.2)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
5.95%
Healthy income — 5.95% yield

Generous yield. Worth checking whether the payout is sustainable.

Dividend Growth
+57.1%
Dividend growing fast (57.1% YoY)

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