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Neste Oyj

NESTE.HE
53
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · Energy
Price
€31.43
-2.16 (-6.43%)
Market Cap
€24.15B
Exchange
NASDAQ Helsinki
Winston Score
53
Winston is curious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Jul 25, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026

Neste is a Finnish energy company that refines and sells fuels, with a strong focus on renewable products. Its main products include renewable diesel, sustainable aviation fuel (SAF), and traditional petroleum-based fuels. It sells to airlines, trucking companies, fuel distributors, and industrial customers across Europe, North America, and Asia.

Neste makes money by refining raw materials — including waste fats, vegetable oils, and used cooking oil — into cleaner-burning fuels and selling them at a premium over conventional diesel. Headquartered in Espoo, Finland, it is one of the world's largest producers of renewable diesel and SAF, which gives it a meaningful head start over competitors still building similar capacity. The key growth driver is rising demand for SAF as airlines face pressure to cut carbon emissions, but the main risk is that feedstock costs — the raw materials used to make renewable fuels — can be volatile and squeeze profit margins significantly.

Winston Score History

Share count broadly stable

0.0% over 4y

The share count has stayed roughly flat over this period — little dilution or buyback activity.

Diluted shares outstanding: 768.5M (2021) → 768.2M (2025)

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
21.4%
Thin — 21.4% gross margin
Operating Margin
15.2%
Healthy — 15.2% operating margin
ROCE
7.5%
Weak — 7.5% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-0.4%
Shrinking sales (-0.4% YoY)
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
EPS Consistency
8/8 quarters
Every recent quarter grew earnings vs last year

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
149%
Turns 149% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
6.9%
Modest free cash flow (6.9%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.44
Conservative — low debt load (0.44)
Interest Cover
12.56x
Comfortably covers interest (12.6x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
15.9x
Fair value — P/E 15.9

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
+1.8
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow — slightly cheaper on forward P/E

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
0.64%
Small dividend — 0.64% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
-31.6%
Dividend cut (-31.6% YoY) — warning sign

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