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Neste Oyj

NTOIF
53
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · Energy
Price
$35.35
+0.00 (+0.00%)
Market Cap
$27.16B
Exchange
Other OTC
Winston Score
53
Winston is curious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Jul 28, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026

Neste Oyj is a Finnish energy company that refines and sells fuels, with a strong focus on renewable products. Its most important business is making renewable diesel and sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) from waste materials like used cooking oil and animal fat. Airlines, trucking companies, and fuel distributors across Europe and North America are its main customers.

Neste earns money by selling refined fuels — both traditional petroleum products and renewable fuels — at a margin above what the raw materials cost. It operates refineries in Finland, the Netherlands, and Singapore, making it one of the world's largest producers of renewable diesel. Its competitive edge comes from its ability to process a wide variety of waste-based feedstocks, which most competitors cannot do as efficiently. The key risk is that feedstock costs — especially used cooking oil — have risen sharply, squeezing margins, and the company must secure enough low-cost waste materials to stay profitable as more rivals enter the renewable fuels market.

Winston Score History

Share count broadly stable

0.0% over 4y

The share count has stayed roughly flat over this period — little dilution or buyback activity.

Diluted shares outstanding: 768.5M (2021) → 768.2M (2025)

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
21.4%
Thin — 21.4% gross margin
Operating Margin
15.2%
Healthy — 15.2% operating margin
ROCE
7.5%
Weak — 7.5% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-0.3%
Shrinking sales (-0.3% YoY)
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
EPS Consistency
8/8 quarters
Every recent quarter grew earnings vs last year

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
149%
Turns 149% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
6.9%
Modest free cash flow (6.9%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.44
Conservative — low debt load (0.44)
Interest Cover
10.87x
Comfortably covers interest (10.9x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
17.9x
Fair value — P/E 17.9

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
+2.1
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow — slightly cheaper on forward P/E

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
0.67%
Small dividend — 0.67% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
-29.4%
Dividend cut (-29.4% YoY) — warning sign

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